Indiana at Milwaukee

A bounce-back spot for the desperate home team? The zig-zag theory won't work if the team in revenge mode doesn't have its best players. Milwaukee has lost three in a row to the Pacers, 125-108, 121-118, and 126-113. Star Giannis Antetokounmpo (30.4 ppg, 11.5 rpg) is battling a calf injury and is unlikely to play. Chris Livingston is out and Damian Lillard (24.3 ppg) strained his Achilles in Game 3 and missed Game 4, on the sidelines with a walking boot. Khris Middleton (15.1 ppg) is playing despite spraining both ankles in this series. The Bucks are 19-34 ATS as an underdog. Uptempo Indiana led the NBA in scoring (123.3 ppg) and is playing confident and healthy. The Pacers are 26-12 ATS versus teams that average 116+ points, plus 40-25 ATS after playing two straight home contests. Expect a slower start from both teams. Indiana has dropped over six points per game from their first-half scoring during the playoffs. Milwaukee has shaved seven points per game from their first-half average. Dating back to last season, the Bucks are 19-9 UNDER in the first half at home vs. teams like Indiana that make 48%+ from the field. Take the first-half UNDER and play Indiana.