Indiana at Milwaukee

Indiana is short on two areas needed during the playoffs: defense and road play. During the regular season, the Pacers were strong at home but just one game over .500 on the road. The defense was 27th in points surrendered (120.2 points per game) and last in field goal shooting allowed (.49.6%). NBA road underdogs (or pick) in Game 2 of a playoff series are 11-32 ATS. Milwaukee is Top 10 in 3-point defense and that defense improved significantly when a coaching change was made, bringing in Doc Rivers in January. The offense was fourth in scoring and ninth from long range. The Bucks are 33-11 straight up at home, but second-best home record in the Eastern Conference. They rolled in Game 1, 109-94, holding the Pacers to 39.6% shooting. Milwaukee is 23-12 ATS the past two years as home chalk of 6 points or less (or pick 'em), 19-8 ATS at home against teams that shoot 48%+ plus from the field, and 10-1 ATS when playing four or fewer games in 10 days. Take Milwaukee as a Max Play.