Indiana at Houston

Indiana is a .500 road team and is a long way from home, playing into the Texas Triangle. They are on a 1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS run and it's shaping up as an ugly trip after last night's 112-103 loss at San Antonio. The Pacers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record as well as 9-27 ATS in their last 36 games playing on no rest. They face a rested Houston team that is 20-7 at home and fighting hard to hold on to one of the last playoff seeds in the West, with Houston and Denver trying to stay ahead of Utah and Phoenix for the last two slots. The Rockets are on a 7-3 ATS run over and 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Play the rested Rockets! Also, the UNDER is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings between these teams and I see the first half going UNDER the total. Indiana is tired after playing last night and Houston plays its best defense at home, holding the up-tempo Warriors and Grizzlies to 89 and 83 points in recent home wins. Houston held Memphis to 37% shooting, a team that is No. 9 in the league in points scored. Play the first half UNDER.