Indiana at Detroit

Indiana is in the midst of their worst season since 1988-89. But, they are actually playing good ball right now having won three of four games. "Teams come in here and kind of overlook us," forward Troy Murphy said. "They probably figure that a team with our record would have packed it in by now." It's true - teams don't get up for Indiana. Even a team as bad as Detroit is favored against the Pacers. But, I feel like Indiana is playing harder right now and Detroit really shouldn't be favored against anyone. The Pistons are just 19-34 ATS since last season as a home favorite. There's no reason Indiana can't win this game. At a minimum, I expect it to be close. The Pistons’ defense has gone out the window as they have allowed 111 points per game over their last five. When facing a losing team, Detroit is just 28-43 ATS since last season. They struggle against teams like Indiana that like to hoist up the long-ball. Dating back to last season, Detroit is just 30-48 ATS vs. teams that attempt 18+ three-pointers per game. The Pacers beat Oklahoma City by 11 last game, scoring 121 in the process. This team is 25-13 ATS since last season after scoring 110+ last game. When coming off back-to-back losses this season, the Pistons are just 11-21 ATS. I like Indiana and the points here.