This pick was released to clients on April 28, 2018 at 8:17PM ET.
img NBA

Indiana at Cleveland

April 29, 2018
img1:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It's Game 7, which means both teams will play all-out defense from the opening tip with everything on the line. Indiana has played strong defense all season for Coach Nate McMillan. Indiana is ranked ninth in the NBA in points allowed, fifth at defending the three-pointer, and is on a 35-16-1 run UNDER the total. However, they've failed to generate much offense the last two games played in Cleveland, losing 100-97 and 98-95. When the First-Half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points in a playoff series that is tied, the First-Half is 96-48 UNDER the total. In addition, Indiana is 28-10 UNDER the First-Half total when tied in a playoff series. This is a veteran Cleveland squad that has been through so many big games, winning three-straight Eastern Conference titles and one NBA Championship. They have home court and the game's best player in LeBron James for this showdown. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points are 48-18 ATS revenging a road loss to an opponent that is off a win by 20+ points. Cleveland is also 57-36 ATS at home after two consecutive division games. The wagering value is on a defensive First-Half and the veteran home team for Game 7. Play Cleveland and the First-Half UNDER. 

1.5 units on Cleveland -5.5 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 101 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Indiana Pacers
19
24
31
27
101
Cleveland Cavaliers img
31
23
22
29
105
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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