Indiana at Boston

There is no team that has played defense like the Indiana Pacers this season. They have stymied opponents to 91.1 points per game. They have been equally up to the task and then some when taking on poor teams. When going up against teams below the .500 mark, and playing to a total of less than 195, the Pacers have gone 15-6-1 to the UNDER in their 22 games this season. Boston no longer has the big-3 to bail them out of trouble, and the offense has struggled vs. the better teams. They average just 91.1 ppg in their 23 games this season vs. winning teams, and that has led to a 15-8 mark to the UNDER in those games. The Pacers are even more defensive on a day of rest where they are 19-8-1 to the UNDER in their last 28. This series has seen the UNDER prevail in each of the last five meetings, and I see nothing here to change that. Take the UNDER.