Indiana at Atlanta

The Indiana Pacers are a #1 seed in trouble, as they trail the Atlanta Hawks three games to two. They have a critical game six that they need to win to get back home for a decisive game seven. This has been a series of a pair of offensively-challanged teams, and no game has seen both teams reach the 100-point mark. In fact, just one team has produced more than 101 points. Closeout games tend to play on the defensive end of the court with the team that is more capable usually dictating the tempo, and that goes to the Pacers' defense in this one. A closeout game in the last 10 years in the NBA playoffs have produced a 156-116-4 mark to the UNDER, or when at least one team has three series wins, the UNDER connects at 57.4%. That becomes a perfect 6-0 to the UNDER when the team as the worst seed is a home dog as we have in Atlanta tonight. History says to play on the UNDER, and I agree.