Houston at San Antonio

You can't trust Houston on the road, where they are 2-6. Houston lives by its offense, but they struggle on the road to score and allow 97 ppg, 24th defensively in the NBA. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record. Houston comes off a terrible game, giving up 120 points in a loss to Minnesota. San Antonio also struggles on the road, but this team is a monster at home with a 10-1 record. Tonight’s game is first of three in a row at AT&T Center for Spurs, who will then play nine straight on the road. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a team with a winning record and this is a state rivalry game, as well as an important game in the Western Conference. Play the Spurs. In addition, there will be plenty of offense in this one.  This shaky Houston defense faces a San Antonio offense that is sixth in the league in points scored (97.9 ppg) and second in assists, as they run right at opponents with Tony Parker and their great depth. The OVER is 4-1 in the Rockets last five against the Western Conference, as well as 21-10 OVER the total in their last 31 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. The OVER is 15-7 in the Spurs last 22 games playing on one days rest. And when these teams meet they love to run the floor: The OVER is 7-3 in the last ten meetings. Play the Spurs and the OVER here.