This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2012 at 12:57PM ET.
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Houston at Phoenix

April 9, 2005
img10:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

I suspect some folks read my OVER write-up on Phoenix last night and got a bit gun shy with the high line. It flew way over and they'll do it again tonight. As I stated yesterday, Phoenix has been unstoppable on the offensive end of the court. They've now scored 115 or more points in seven of their last nine games. And their defense has fallen way off as they are allowing over 105 per game over their that same span. During those nine games, the average total score has been over 220 points. Over the past five seasons, games in which the total is 200+ featuring a team off a game in which they scored 110+ points (Houston) facing an opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more (Phoenix) have gone over 44-18 (71%). Phoenix is 14-5 OVER at home following a road game this season.

1 unit on Game Total OVER 213.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
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