Houston at Miami

The Heat are 19-3 at home, but they are just two games over .500 ATS at home. As their home dominance continues to get press, the spreads will likely get more and more inflated. Houston's offense is clicking right now, giving them a great shot at covering this very large number. The Rockets put up a ridiculous 140 last game vs. Golden State and over their last five games Houston is averaging 120.6 points per game, winning on average by 19 points per game! When coming off a double-digit win this season, the Rockets are 12-4 ATS. Overall after a spread win this season, they are 18-7 ATS. I look for Houston to carry momentum into this game and hang inside the number.