In their past 10 games, Houston has gone 3-7 ATS while the Clippers have just 1 loss in their last 5 home games ATS. Last month, the Clippers started to get a bit of respect from the linesmakers as they were dominating some of the West Coast teams, but this respect was lost after their 6 game road trip (losing the last 3 ATS). The wonderful thing about this lack of respect is that it gives us value here. The Clippers are still scoring over 97ppg this year while Houston is still averaging under 90ppg. The Clippers also have the edge in shooing percentage and free throw percentage as well as rebounding. Add all these things together, along with the Clippers being at home and this 3.5 line is nothing more than showing the lack of respect the average bettor currently has for the Clippers. This is not the Clippers team of the past, it is the Clippers team of the future. Give the 3.5 points and take the Clippers at home for three stars.
This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 5:07PM ET.
NBA
Houston at Los Angeles
February 14, 2006
10:35 PM Eastern
3 units on Los Angeles -3.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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