Houston at Golden State

The Golden State Warriors failed to close out the Houston Rockets on the road, but they come home up 3-1 in the series. Keep in mind that 116 teams in the NBA Playoffs that were down 3-0 all lost the series, so it is a matter of time until the Warriors advance. The time is now. Golden State got a scare when Stephen Curry was spilled onto the floor with what looked like it could have been a severe head injury, but he did return, and is 100% for tonight's game. I think knowing that the Cavaliers won last night and are resting gives them extra incentive to get the extended rest themselves. Golden State went for 115 points in each of the two games played in Houston as the Rockets have done little to slow their high-octane offense, and the Warriors are even harder to stop at home. The Rockets aren't as good at sustaining high-octane offense, and they have failed to cover six of their last seven after posting 125+ in their previous game. Golden State on the other hand, is 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 after allowing 125+, and 23-11 ATS following a loss in their last 34. Houston is now 11-4 to the OVER when playing on a day of rest, and I would not be surprised to see the Warriors go for 120+ tonight as they focus on the closeout. Take both Golden State to advance and the OVER the total.