Houston at Denver

The Nuggets are just 3-7 in their last 10 games, and on the surface look like a fading team. A closer look shows that six of the seven losses were on the road, and the home loss was to Boston. The fact is the Nuggets are 14-3 in their last 17 home games. Houston's Achilles heel has been playing on the road as they sport just a 14-17 mark on the season. They are becoming unbeatable at home where they have won 12 straight, but the road is a completely different story. They are just 4-11 on the road in their last 15 games and that goes back to before Christmas. The Nuggets are playing their third game in four nights - usually the death knell for teams in the NBA, but the Nuggets have thrived to a 21-9 ATS mark in this situation, and I'll lay the points and go with the Nuggets here.