Golden State at Memphis

Golden State plays best at home, going 22-19 on the road during the regular season. The Warriors are on a 3-7 spread run away from home, 3-8 ATS as a road favorite, and 6-14-1 ATS after a spread loss. No. 2 seed Memphis is a home dog despite having the second-best home record (30-11) during the regular season. Memphis is 28-17 ATS against winning teams, 27-11 ATS versus teams that shoot 46% or better from the field, plus 25-12 ATS against teams that allow 108+ points per contest. Golden State has failed to cover five of the last six against the Grizzlies including 0-5 ATS at Memphis. When facing winning teams this season, the Warriors are 27-18 to the UNDER. They are also 39-30 UNDER this season as a favorite including 25-15 UNDER when favored by 3 to 9.5 points, as they are here. In the Steve Kerr era, this team is 116-86 UNDER after a game in which they scored uner 106 points. Back Memphis to keep the clamps on here and at least keep it close, with the game going UNDER.