This pick was released to clients on March 02, 2014 at 10:30AM ET.
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Golden State at Toronto

March 2, 2014
img4:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Golden State is on a 6-1-1 ATS run, and has a better road record than Toronto has at home. The Warriors have exceptional balance, 10th in the NBA in points scored, second in rebounds, and ninth in points allowed. Yes, they are a great defensive team, allowing 43% shooting by opponents -- third best in the NBA. Only the Bulls and Pacers are better. On Friday, Stephen Curry posted his third triple-double of the season with 27 points, 11 rebounds, and 11 assists in a 126-103 rout at Madison Square Garden. Golden State improved to 2-1 SU/ATS on its road trip. That's key as Curry loves facing Toronto. The Raptors have allowed 119.3 points per game in going 0-7 against the Warriors with Curry in the lineup. Curry has averaged 27.3 points on 53.7 percent shooting in those contests -- his best numbers against any NBA opponent. Toronto's only win over Golden State since Curry was drafted was an 83-75 home win on March 4, 2012 that came while the guard was sidelined by a strained tendon in his foot. The Warriors are 40-17 ATS against the Atlantic division. Toronto is off a triple OT loss at home to Washington, allowing over 47% shooting and getting outrebounded by seven (plus 18-11 on the offensive glass). The Warriors are 17-4 ATS in the last 21 meetings, including 5-1 ATS at Toronto. The value here is with the visitors to win the game. Play Golden State on the money line.

1.5 units on Golden State -130 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.61)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Warriors
28
22
28
20
98
Toronto Raptors img
25
30
20
29
104
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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