Golden State at San Antonio

Many were surprised how well Golden St. shot in their series vs. the Nuggets, as they surprisingly won the series in an upset, four games to two. The Warriors shot 49.4% and over 40% from deep, but the defense they saw vs. Denver is not up to speed with what they will see from the Spurs. You're probably going to hear the "analysts" on your favorite network, proclaim the Spurs are likely to be rusty off of a seven day layoff. Let me put those thoughts to rest as over the last 10 years, teams off of seven or more days rest in the playoffs are 9-2 ATS, winning by an average margin of 17ppg. The Spurs last 74 games in the playoffs as a home favorite show them at 46-28 ATS, which balloons to 29-10 ATS if they are favored by more than six. Golden St. had a lot of room for their offense vs. Denver, and looked good, but they won't be afforded nearly as many opportunities here. Make the play on San Antonio.