Golden State at San Antonio

Golden State hasn't won in this building in 28 straight tries. Tony Parker is out, but the Spurs are the consummate "next man up" team. They have gone 5-2 since Parker suffered a left ankle sprain. I expect a very good effort here thanks to the poor recent play of the Spurs defense. Gregg Poppovich said he is "concerned and disappointed" by the trend and was tossed from Saturday's game after getting two technicals. You can bet his team will be ready tonight. The Warriors are an improved team and they can score, but on the road they are under .500 both SU and ATS. Their defense is simply not very good, allowing 103 per game on the road. This team is just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games following back-to-back road wins. This season the Warriors are 0-8 ATS on the road after back-to-back ATS wins and 2-10 ATS on the road after back-to-back wins. The Spurs are 45-23 ATS in this building as a favorite dating back to last season. Take San Antonio to cover this number. Also take the UNDER. Golden State has played better defense of late while dropping down on offense. The Spurs have allowed 108 per game over their last five but that will only serve as a motivator to turn that around tonight. On the season, they give up just 93.7 per game at home. When the Spurs have faced a winning team at home this season, they are 10-2 to the UNDER. Over the past three seasons, Golden State is 81-60 to the UNDER in games with a total set at 200 or higher. That includes a 45-27 UNDER mark on the road in those games. Go with the home team and the UNDER here.