This pick was released to clients on September 17, 2012 at 10:25PM ET.
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Golden State at San Antonio

December 4, 2006
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Three of San Antonio's five losses have come at home this year. We're not suggesting Golden State pulls off the upset here, but we are suggesting that this isn't as dominating a home team as it used to be. San Antonio of old doesn't lose at home as an 11.5 favorite as they did earlier this year to Charlotte. The Warriors have not done very well of late losing five of their last seven SU and ATS. But, those were all games in which they were a small dog or favorite. They have been a big underdog of 7+ just stwice this season, covering both. The Spurs are only 21-35 ATS vs. winning teamst he past two seasons and they really struggle vs. good three-point shooting teams. Golden State shoots very well and hits 36.2% from beyond the arc. The Spurs are 4-16 ATS at home vs. teams hitting 36%+ the past two sesasons. Golden State can score with the best of them and we look for them to keep it closer than this large spread.

2 units on Golden State +8.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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