Golden State at Sacramento

Golden State is 1-3, they are without Brandan Wright and Ronny Turiaf, and Andris Biedrins is nursing a sore back. Yet, they are favored on the road. This presents a live home dog opportunity and I like it. Yes, Sacramento's defense has been bad, but not as bad as Golden State's. While the Kings have allowed 106.7 per game, Golden State has allowed 113.5 per game. The offenses are similar. Dating back to last season, the Warriors are 10-21 ATS on the road in a game with a total over 210. They are also just 30-48 ATS as a favorite the past three seasons. I like the home dog here in a game they can win outright.