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Golden State at Phoenix

April 5, 2013
img10:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Golden State has had a great season despite hitting the wall over an ugly 5-12 stretch. They have since gotten back on track, and own an 8-3 mark over their last 11 games. They beat Phoenix by 10 in their last meeting and that was when they were playing poorly, having lost six straight prior to that game. Phoenix has shown no grit down the stretch as they are 1-11 in their last 12 games. This is a bad matchup for Phoenix, as they have now dropped seven straight. The Suns are just 11-23 ATS this season vs. good three-point shooting teams like the Warriors (teams hitting over 35% from beyond the arc). That includes a 4-13 ATS mark in the last 17 such games. Versus teams that hit over 38% from long range, the Suns are just 1-8 ATS this season. Dating back to last season, Phoenix is 13-29 ATS vs. teams that average 100+ points per game. Phoenix is also just 10-21 ATS this season in expected high-scoring games (games with a total of 200 or more). The last time these teams met, in February, Golden State won at home by double digits. That's not a good sign for Phoenix as they are just 8-19 ATS this season revenging a road loss. The Warriors have cashed five of their last six vs. a losing team and the Suns are now just 4-11 ATS after surrendering a loss. Phoenix is another team that has packed it in, so play on Golden State as my NBA April ATS Game of the Month.

2.5 units on Golden State -8 (-110) (risk 2.5 to return 2.5)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Warriors img
111
Phoenix Suns
107
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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