img NBA

Golden State at Orlando

March 8, 2008
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Warriors have been winning. But against whom? Seattle? Philly? Portland? Charlotte? Miami? Those games have not prepared them for this one against a Magic team that is 40-23 on the season and on their own great run (have won 9 of 11 both SU and ATS). The run-and-gun that Golden State employs works against bad teams, where they simply outscore their weaker competition. But, giving up 107 per game isn't going to cut it against the likes of Orlando. Home teams in a matchup between two teams at 60%+ SU are 31-8 ATS over the past five seasons in March. The Warriors live by the three, making 10 per game. But Orlando can handle that as they are 21-11 ATS this season vs. teams making 6 or more. Golden State is just 26-35 ATS this season when the total is 200 or more. They have scored 105 or more points in 25 straight games. But, that's not a good thing as they are 17-30 ATS this season after scoring 105 or more last game. They are also 12-25 ATS off a win this season. Orlando is 22-10 ATS in games with a total of 200 or more and 20-10 ATS asa a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Magic win big here.

3 units on Orlando -7 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Golden State Warriors
27
20
33
24
104
Orlando Magic
36
19
16
24
95
odds odds
 
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