This pick was released to clients on April 23, 2024 at 12:48PM ET.
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Golden State at New Orleans

April 23, 2015
img9:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

At times the New Orleans Pelicans looked like they could hang with the Golden State Warriors. But the problem for New Orleans is that Golden State has so many weapons all over the floor, as well as a team that defends very well, unlike teams past Golden State teams. It puts immense pressure on their opponent, and that is why they entered the playoffs claiming the best regular season record. The Warriors are 28-13 on the road this season, and the defense has been able to step up on the road, complimenting and offense that scores 6.2 points per game fewer on the road vs. at home. I think this game is going to be a lot lower scoring than what we have seen from the first two. New Orleans home games have averaged fewer than 200 total points per contest this season. Stephen Curry has been a force on the road, untethered by hostile crowds, averaging 25.5 ppg, and Andrew Bogut has come up big in the paint to average 14 rebounds per game in the series. Overall, the Warriors have too many areas where they can hurt you on both sides of the floor, and they are also 35-18-1 ATS in their last 54 on a pair of days rest. The Pelicans have done great work on defense following a loss where they have played each of their last six to the UNDER, and Golden State has played five of their last six on the road to the UNDER as well. Golden State is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 in New Orleans, and the last 11 meetings have seen the UNDER go 8-2-1. The Pelicans are 52-30-2 UNDER in the first-half this season including 26-16 vs. winning teams and 25-9 when the first-half total is set over 100. Take Golden State, the first-half and full game UNDERs.

1 unit on Golden State -5 (-102) (risk 1 to return 1.98)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 101.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 204 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
O
F
Golden State Warriors img
25
27
17
39
15
123
New Orleans Pelicans
26
37
26
19
11
119
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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