This pick was released to clients on March 26, 2024 at 11:27AM ET.
img NBA

Golden State at Miami

March 26, 2024
img7:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A pair of strong defensive squads clash here, with Golden State ranking 11th in the league for field goal shooting allowed, and at defending beyond the arc. The Warriors are on an 11-6 run UNDER the total, and they won't be in a good mood after a loss at Minnesota blowing a 12-point halftime lead. The offense is seventh in scoring and 10th from 3-point land. Miami is a defensive-oriented team ranked fourth in points given up (108.9 per game), 10th in field goal shooting allowed, and 12th at defending the 3-pointer. The offense, though, is just 27th in points scored and 23rd in shooting. Miami is on a 1-3 SU/ATS run at home along with a 1-5 spread run on home court. They're also on an 11-5 run UNDER the total and this shapes up as an intense defensive duel. Take Golden State + UNDER the total.  

1 unit on Golden State -2 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 218 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Warriors img
24
29
32
28
113
Miami Heat
26
29
20
17
92
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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