This pick was released to clients on May 12, 2023 at 12:03PM ET.
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Golden State at Los Angeles

May 12, 2023
img10:20 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Los Angeles played as if it knew it still had a home game remaining in the series and didn't put up much of a fight in Game 5 while losing 121-106. That will change tonight as the Lakers know they can't go back to San Francisco for a Game 7 if they expect to advance in the playoffs. The Lakers are 6-2 ATS the past eight meetings with six outright wins, and they have covered five in a row overall following a loss and six straight after losing by double digits. Also, Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS the past five meetings at home and Golden State is 0-5 ATS overall following a win. In addition, the Warriors are just 17-38-1 ATS their past 56 road games. Anthony Davis is expected to play after being hit in the head on Wednesday. The Lakers are 5-2 UNDER after losing by at least 10 points and will come out strong on the defensive end. Take the Lakers as a Max Play for the game, and play the first half UNDER.

2 units on Los Angeles -2.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 108 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Warriors
26
20
31
24
101
Los Angeles Lakers img
31
25
35
31
122
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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