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Golden State at Los Angeles

March 23, 2008
img9:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Lakers have (re)adjusted to life without Pau. They have won three straight with Gasol out of the lineup. They have averaged 113 per game over that stretch, posting impressive upset wins over Dallas and Utah and beating down Seattle by 25 points. Kobe is licking his lips as over their last five games, the Warriors have lost three of five (going 1-4 ATS), giving up 112.2 ppg in the process. Golden State has allowed opponents to get 9 full points per game more than their season average. If that happens today, the Lakers could reach the 120s. LA has been particularly potent this year vs. division opponents, going 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS, scoring 116 per game. They have no fear of Golden State's up-tempo run and gun style. LA is an incredible 17-4 ATS this year vs. such teams (those averaging 83+ shots per game). THey are also 12-1 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams like GS (those getting outrebounded by 3+ per game). Finally, they are 13-1 ATS in their last fourteen games vs. poor defenses (those allowing 100+ per game). This will be a track-meet and LA wins and covers in those games.

3 units on Los Angeles -6.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Golden State Warriors
34
38
15
28
115
Los Angeles Lakers
30
19
32
30
111
odds odds
 
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