Golden State at Los Angeles

The Golden State Warriors have poured in 140+ points in three of their last four games and have been sizzling on the offensive end. While that sounds great, the elevated offense managed to cover just two of those four games. Since November 12th, this team is a woeful 11-20-1 ATS. The Clippers have gone for 100+ in 16 straight games so they are perfectly capable of scoring enough to stay in touch here. The Clippers are 3-1 ATS in their last four as a home dog, including a straight-up win here vs. Golden State as a +2.5 point dog, and the Warriors' recent scoring barrage has them way overvalued now at -7.5 for this one. Play on the Clippers.