Golden State at Houston

This is a statement game. Houston is healthy again and hosting the best team in the league. James Harden is back but the Rockets are still without Trevor Ariza and Gerald Green and that will play a role here. The Warriors have won 24 of their last 28 games and hasn't lost on the road since November. Dating back to last season, Golden State is 24-11 ATS on the road vs. winning teams. Over that same span, Houston is just 7-18 ATS at home vs. good shooting teams like Golden State (teams hitting 46%+ from the field). Houston is also 14-27 ATS at home revenging a loss. Under Steve Kerr, the Warriors are 92-56 ATS as a favorite in this range (-3.5 to -9.5). Take Golden State to win and cover.