This pick was released to clients on February 12, 2025 at 8:08AM ET.
img NBA

Golden State at Dallas

February 12, 2025
img9:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

There is just 3.5 games of separation in the NBA Western Conference from being #6 and in the playoffs, or #11 and entirely out of even the play-in round. This is a huge game as both these teams are between those numbers. Dallas is going to find out how things are without Luka Doncic, and they already suffered a blow as newly acquired Anthony Davis is among five Mavs on the injury list. Davis is out for tonight's game. Golden St. has won two straight games, and newly acquired Jimmy Butler finally gives Stephon Curry a star player to run with, and it should help this Golden St. team going forward to strengthen their playoff run. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 36-10 ATS, and favors the Warriors tonight. Golden State is on a 6-1 OVER run and I don't suspect the Mavericks will be able to slow down this pace. Make the play on Golden State ATS, and bet this game to sail OVER the total. 

1 unit on Golden State -6.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total OVER 232.5 -105 (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Warriors
31
25
22
29
107
Dallas Mavericks img
32
25
26
28
111
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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