Golden State at Dallas

Golden State got in the heads of the Mavericks last year, and it extended to the playoffs. Right now the Mavs are trying to play without their best player, and dealing with a late season struggle, trying to beat good teams. The Mavs have not beaten a team with a winning record since before Valentine's Day, a streak which has gone to 0-11 SU. They have a slight one game lead over the Warriors in the playoff race and Golden State has the Mavs number. Dallas just struggles with high-scoring teams like the Warriors (the Mavs are 12-22 ATS this season vs. teams attempting 18+ three pointers per game). The Warriors also play well on back-to-backs, going 9-4 ATS. Warriors get this one, or at least keep it close.