This pick was released to clients on June 11, 2021 at 1:14PM ET.
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Golden State at Cleveland

June 11, 2015
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Cleveland Cavaliers have for the most part surprised the Golden State Warriors, despite being down two of their top three players. They have taken a 2-1 series lead in the Finals, as we head to game four at Cleveland. The biggest issue for the Warriors has been the intensity, and competence of the Cavs' defense. This has been a possession-series played in the halfcourt, with LeBron James running the offense often deep into the shot clock. James is arguably having one of the best playoff series in history of the Finals, but I'm not so sure about that. James has taken 107 shots throgh three games, making just 43, shooting just 40%. The Warriors have actually defended him very well, but his strong numbers are based on shear volume. Stephen Curry has been guarded by Matt Dellavedova for the most part, and he has frustrated him all series long. Curry is just 25-63 at 39.6%. He is also just 11-34 from deep - under 33%. When you have the top players for each team taking the most shots and converting at a low rate, in a halfcourt game, the UNDER is a wise proposition. Golden State is now 12-3 to the UNDER in their last 15, including 7-0 UNDER when following a spread loss. On a day of rest, Cleveland is 37-17-1 in their last 55 to the UNDER. Take both the fist half and full game UNDER.

1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 97 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 194 -115 (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Warriors img
103
Cleveland Cavaliers
82
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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