img NBA

Detroit at Sacramento

November 7, 2012
img10:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A pair of struggling teams will hit the floor tonight in Sacramento. The Detroit Pistons are winless in four games, and will take on the Sacramento Kings. The Kings got their first win of the season in their last game by a slim 2-point margin vs. Golden State. Detroit fits the profile of a team that will get plenty of line value. 0-4 teams in the NBA that are playing on the road as a dog are just 4-21 straight-up, but are 15-9-1 ATS. That shows the overlay against the winless team in this spot, as the points have mattered in almost half the games, as opposed to the standard 17% where they matter. They are also 9-4-1 ATS in this situation if they are not playing against a team off a good start - an opponent that has won less than 60% of their games to open the season. Take the points and play on Detroit.

1 unit on Detroit +6 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Detroit Pistons
27
19
25
32
103
Sacramento Kings img
26
29
24
26
105
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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