Detroit at Philadelphia

Detroit just isn't right. There is absolutely zero excuse or explanation for their performance last game. They had evened the series after game two and were back in emotional control. But they gave it all back last game. We take that back - there is an explanation. The Sixers are the better team right now. They are playing harder and have more heart. They believe. They are likely going to upset the Pistons in this series if this keeps up. The linesmakers know the betting public still can't believe this and that's why Philly is getting 5.5 points at home. But, again, they have a very good shot at winning this game outright so the points make it a very attractive play. To make matters worse for Detroit, Antonio McDyess may miss this game with a broken nose. The Sixers are pressuring Detroit into mistakes, holding the Pistons to just 88.7 ppg thus far. While Philly's pressure is killing Detroit, Detroit's lack of pressure is benefitting the Sixers. It's not a surprise as the 76ers are 32-18 ATS this season vs. teams that force under 15 turnovers per game. That includes 20-11 ATS in their last 31 such games. Looking for a Detroit bounceback here? Consider that the Pistons are just 4-12 ATS this season on the road after failing to cover the spread last game. And they are 4-17 ATS the past three seasons on the road after scoring 85 points or less last game. Philly meanwhile is 20-8 ATS this season after having won two of their last three games. Philadelphia is rolling, playing better and smarter and Detroit is in trouble. It's essentially a must-win for Detroit which will mean they will leave it on the court. But with this 5.5 point cushion, we really like the Sixers against the spread.