Detroit at Philadelphia

This has been a see-saw thus far with Detroit getting embarrassed in a game one upset loss only to win game two by 17 points. They doubled the Sixers' leading scorer Iguodala holding him to 4 points (averaged 20 during regular season). No 76er scored more than 14 points in the game. Detroit was certainly awakened by that first game and we expect an inspired defensive effort here in an attempt to re-secure home court advantage. This is Detroit's calling card and when their backs are against the wall, that's what they go back to. They are still feeling threatened and will bring it again tonight. Philadelphia allowed just 92.8 ppg at home this season so expect Detroit to also struggle offensively here. This season Detroit is 14-3 UNDER vs. good rebounding teams (those averaging 3+ rpg more than their opponents). They are also 20-9 UNDER vs. teams that protect the ball like Philly (those averaging under 15 turnovers per game). Over the past three seasons the Pistons are 24-11 UNDER to a total between 180 and 185. This year they are 25-12 UNDER following an OVER. Over the past decade Detroit is a perfect 10-0 UNDER on the road when tied in a playoff series (again, they revert to their strength when things are close). We'll take the UNDER here.