This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2012 at 12:53PM ET.
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Detroit at Orlando

April 8, 2005
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Detroit is back to the business of winning again. They've won & covered 4 straight after dropping 4 of 5. Three of those losses came without Hamilton who was nursing an injured ankle. But he's back to health and the Pistons are smoking everyone in sight! They've whipped the Wizards, Raptors, Clippers, and Kings by an average margin of 13 PPG. Meanwhile, the Magic have dropped 13 of 17, Hill's injured again, and the roadie in this series has covered 5 of the last 6. Finally, underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that score 99+ points/game off a game where they allowed 100 points or more 4 straight games are just 23-48 (32%) ATS since 1996. It all adds up to another big Detroit win. Two stars on the Pistons.

Detroit is lighting it up at over 100 points per game over their last five. Orlando is allowing 105 per game over the same time period while scoring 104 per game. Games in which the total is between 190 and 199.5 points featuring a good defensive road team against an average defensive team in which the road team allowed a shooting pct. of 42% or less for 5+ games have gone OVER 72% of the time since 1996. Orlando is 6-0 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season since the all-star break and 73-45 OVER at home over the past three seasons. Sure, Detroit can play defense but they'll score enough here to take this over the low total. One star on the OVER.

1 unit on Game Total OVER 192 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
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