This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 8:49PM ET.
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Detroit at Miami

May 27, 2006
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami is matchup up well and they get the first game in their backyard. Since game one against Cleveland, Detroit has been more out-of-synch than in-synch. The Pistons are now 1-7 ATS in their last eight games! This year they were 1-9 ATS in road games following two straight ATS losses. And, as stated here when fading the Pistons in earlier road games during the playoffs, Detroit is 18-32 ATS on the road vs. winning teams over the past two seasons. Miami is 29-14 ATS in late season plays at home vs. winning teams. The Heat scored 103 per game at home this season and Detroit's offense is struggling (85 ppg over last five games). Like the Heat to win and cover the small number here...

2 units on Miami -3 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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