This pick was released to clients on March 29, 2015 at 9:28AM ET.
img NBA

Detroit at Miami

March 29, 2015
img6:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Detroit is a dog, but has a huge edge in the frontcourt, fourth in the NBA in rebounding against the worst rebounding team in the NBA, a Miami group that lost its starting center (Chris Bosh) in mid-season. The Heat are also without center Hassan Whiteside for a third consecutive game due to a hand injury. The Pistons are on a 4-0 SU/ATS run, winning three times as a dog. Reggie Jackson posted his second triple-double in five games with 26 points, 11 rebounds, and 10 assists in Friday's 111-97 victory at Orlando. Detroit has won five of six and is playing tough defense at 8-3 UNDER the total on the road plus 12-5-1 UNDER after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Miami is averaging just 85.5 points during a 1-3 SU/ATS run. At least they can play defense, third in the NBA in points allowed. Miami is on a 5-0 run UNDER the total, including 28-13 UNDER following a defeat. Miami is also 5-11-1 ATS playing on one days rest. And when these teams clash, the road team is 5-1 ATS and the UNDER is 17-6-1 in Miami. Play Detroit and UNDER the total.

1 unit on Detroit +3 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 194.5 -103 (risk 1.5 to return 2.96)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Detroit Pistons
27
17
21
37
102
Miami Heat img
25
24
22
38
109
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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