Detroit at Miami

Miami has had more trouble adjusting to their star studded cast than most had thought, but what they are doing is scoring vs the lesser teams. They are putting up 10.1ppg at home vs teams under .500. The Pistons used to be a team that seldom allowed 100 in a game, but they have been reduced to a 2-8 road team that has allowed 100+ in 11 of 18 games and are not stopping good teams as six of their last eight vs winning teams have topped the total. The Heat is playing up as the last 14 times they have taken the court ten have topped the total. They are also 7-2 to the OVER when a huge favorite of 11 points or more. I like this one to go OVER the total.