Detroit at Los Angeles

Detroit is #21 in the NBA in points scored and isn't going to get into a track meet against the Lakers. The Pistons are on an 8-3 run UNDER the total on the road and had to play last night, a 111-104 win at Golden State. And they are shorthanded with forward Blake Griffin (knee), Markieff Morris (foot), and guard Luke Kennard (knee) all sitting yesterday. It's also their third road game in four nights. The Pistons are getting outscored by over 6 points per game on the road while Los Angeles outscores opponents in this building by nearly 9 per game. Detroit is 2-11 ATS this season vs. winning teams and dating back to last year, and they are just 3-16 ATS vs. elite teams that outscore foes by 6+ points per game. And this year as an underdog, the Pistons are 5-14 ATS. No surprise as under Dwane Casey, this team is just 25-42 ATS as a dog. Detroit is 20-9-1 UNDER the total playing on no days rest, plus 34-16-3 UNDER on the road against a team with a winning home record. Los Angeles is a dominant defensive team since adding Anthony Davis, sixth in points allowed, eighth in field goal shooting defense, and sixth at defending beyond the arc. The UNDER is 13-5 when these teams clash, including five straight UNDERs in this building. Lay the points with the Lakers and take the UNDER.