Detroit at Indiana

The Indiana Pacers knotted up their second round series with a 92-83 win at Detroit Wednesday night. The combined score was just OVER the posted 173.5 total marking a second consecutive game the OVER crowd headed to the cash window. The post season has seen Pacers average 87.9 points/game while Pistons net 87.6 and Pacers are 15-2 UNDER their last seventeen holding foes under 90 points. Also, the Pistons are 11-3 UNDER their last fourteen holding it's opponents to 90 or less points. Helping their cause, the last sixteen meetings overall has produced twelve UNDERs, and twelve of the last nineteen meetings at Indiana have seen an UNDER... Why am I telling you about all of these UNDER trends? These combined with the UNDER play coming in so prominently this postseason has the public weighing heavily on the UNDER in this one. We'll go contrary. Despite their great defense and propsensity to go UNDER, Indiana is 13-3 OVER when the total is 179.5 or less this season including 8-1 OVER at home. Detroit is going to be fired up after losing at home as a favorite. They were held to just 83 points and they will have adjustments in place to uncork their offense. Detroit is 11-3 ATS revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points this season. Also, road favorites revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 53-24 (69%) since 1996. Two stars on Detroit and two stars on the OVER.