Detroit at Indiana

Detroit is 22-7 overall but just 3-2 vs. division foes. Indiana''s defense is very suspect but they have the offensive firepower to pull this one out. They are averaging 104 ppg on the year and 107.2 vs. division opponents. Detroit has been red hot but this may work against them. Road teams that have covered the spread six straight times are just 50-107 (38%) straight-up in their next game over the past decade. That includes a 12-20 mark by this Pistons team in that situation. The Pacers have a history of stepping up vs. elite teams at home. They are 30-22 over the past decade vs. teams that outscore their competition by 6+ ppg. They are also 8-5 this year as an underdog of +145 to +350.