This pick was released to clients on September 20, 2012 at 6:08PM ET.
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Detroit at Cleveland

June 2, 2007
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Here we go, looks like last year all over again. Detroit goes up 2-0, then losses three straight including one at home, comes back and wins in Cleveland. James put on the best playoff performance of anyone this side of #23. He scored 29 of the last 30 points for the Cavs, including the last 25 and no one else scored from nine minutes left in the fourth, through the two OT'S. The Cavs are definitely not an offensive machine and LeBron, as good as he is, is simply not the type of shooter to come back-to-back with a repeat. Detroit's defense is stung and since that is their calling card watch a different five take the floor, in terms of commitment and mindset tonight. The Cavs have covered every game in this series and now it will be Detroit's turn with their back to the wall to respond and we believe they will. This game will be completely about defense. Remember, this Cleveland team is capable of some serious droughts. They scored eight points in a quarter against New Jersey and have had consecutive quarters in these playoffs of 31, 26 and 36 points combined! Remember they held NJ to six points in the fourth quarter and lost! James will be a factor, but he will not be the factor he was in game 5. He had such control of the game that his teammates did nothing but stand around for what amounted to two full quarters of play, it makes you wonder how that effects the offense coming into today's game? It can't be beneficial. While the public loved Detroit coming into this series, they have fallen in love with Cleveland and with their back to the wall this will be Detroit's most intense game which means low scoring, ugly and sneaking out of the building with a W.

3 units on Detroit +1.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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