This pick was released to clients on September 20, 2012 at 5:46PM ET.
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Detroit at Chicago

May 10, 2007
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It is hard to look at this game objectively after the Pistons took apart the Bulls in two games in Detroit. History paints a much different story. Detroit has been the master of their own domain in their latest five-year playoff run, and that is their home-court. Things change dramatically when they sweep the first two games at home and then step-out on the road. The Pistons have swept the first two games of a series at home six times during this run and then went on the road for game 3 and lost all six times! The Bulls are simply a much different team at home where they compiled a 16-7 mark against this year's playoff field. How dominating have they been in the playoffs at home? Last year they were beaten in back-to-back games by the eventual champion Miami Heat and came home and beat them by 19. The Bulls are an unbelievable 16-0 in their first home game of a playoff series over the last 16 series! They win these games by an average margin of 14-points per game (PPG) and if you go back to their last 31 series, they are 27-4! Look for the Bulls, with their back against the wall, to respond with a big game in front of the home crowd. The Pistons have also played OVER in 10 of their last 11 off an ATS win, while the Bulls have put up over 100 points or more against 8 of their last 10 against playoff teams and the Pistons have also played OVER in 4 of the last 5 after winning by double digits.

3 units on Game Total OVER 184.5 -110 (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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