Denver vs. Los Angeles

It's been a rough series and matchup for a finesse Denver squad against a physical Clippers team. Denver is third-worst defensively in the postseason in field goal shooting allowed (48.6%) and #11 in points surrendered. During the regular season, they were #15 in field goal defense, and #17 at defending beyond the arc. Denver is down 3-1 and is 24-38 ATS away from home against teams that average 23-plus assists per game. During the regular season, No. 2 seeded Los Angeles was fifth at defending the three-pointer, third in field goal shooting defense, and #13 in points allowed. The Clippers' defense held Denver to 39.7 percent shooting the last game. Los Angeles is 31-16 ATS against teams that shoot 46% or better, plus 34-19 ATS versus opponents who score 110-plus points per contest. Take Los Angeles as my Max Play.