Denver at Toronto

The Denver Nuggets do a good job at home, but when it comes to the road it is a different story. This year the road ledger shows them at just 3-7 and, going back to last year, that makes 3-11, hard to justify them in the role of a favorite vs a team, like the Raptors, that is north of .500 at home. The Nuggets are also saddled with another problem as they have matched up poorly with the teams from the Eastern Conference where they are 1-13-2 ATS in their last 16. They have also been no-shows vs. bad teams as they are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 vs a team with a losing record. I'll ride with Toronto in this one.