Denver at San Antonio

The Denver Nuggets are a shell of the team that they put on the floor last season, and have gone from a strong playoffs team a year ago to on the outside looking in. The Nuggets have become under-valued because when Ty Lawson went out they struggled without a suitable point guard to run the offense. The Nuggets are 4-10 straight up and ATS when he is on the sidelines, and the Nuggets are 5-3 since his return and 6-2 ATS. San Antonio has won 14 straight, which only fuels the line here as most bettors prefer the hot hand, but they will pay the price to do so here. San Antonio is 10-10 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season, but just 1-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning percentage of .450 or higher. The Nuggets fit a 65-29 ATS situation, and hang inside the number in this one. Take the huge points on Denver.