What seemed like a surprising win for Denver in game one maybe wasn't so surprising after all. Remember that Denver came in to San Antonio two years ago and also did a job on San Antonio. They then went on to lose game two by 28 points! San Antonio has lost game one at home three separate times. Each time they have come back winning game two by an average of 17 ppg! San Antonio got to the line just 10 times in game one. Don't be surprised if they get to the line that many times in the first quarter tonight. If they learned one thing from that game, it's that if you play a finesse game against Denver, you lose. San Antonio is 9-1-1 ATS their last 11 after a straight up loss at home, so they will take it personally. They are also 23-9 ATS their last 32 games following four straight ATS losses. Teams in round one of the NBA playoffs that do not cover game one at home, are great play-on teams in game two. Look for the Spurs to win this one big.
This pick was released to clients on September 20, 2012 at 3:36PM ET.
NBA
Denver at San Antonio
April 25, 2007
7:05 PM Eastern
3 units on San Antonio -8.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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