Denver at Oklahoma City

The Nuggets finally showed some pride and won a game. Can they stave off elimination here? It's not likely. They are simply outmatched and don't have a true closer. I'm focusing instead on the total. Oklahoma City is 26-17 OVER at home this season, scoring 107 points per game while allowing 101. As a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points, they are 14-5 OVER this season. In the Scott Brooks era, they are 22-8 OVER in that range. The Nuggets are a bad defensive team, even after the Melo trade, allowing 104 per game on the road and over their last five games. Under George Karl, the Nuggets are 140-115 OVER vs. teams that allow 99+ pints per game. Take the OVER here.