Denver at New Orleans

The Hornets have run hot and cold all season. Right now they are hot, winners of four of their last five games. They have handled this Denver team in both meeting this season, picking up 9 and 6-point wins. The Nuggets have played well since the departure of Carmelo Anthony, and have taken eight of their last 10, but none of those wins were vs. the caliber of home team they will face tonight. The Nuggets are just 12-20 on the road this season, and just 5-15-3 ATS in their last 23 on the road vs. a team with a winning percentage of over .600. I’m playing New Orleans for the outright win. The Hornets are also a very half-court oriented team, especially at home where they play some tough defense. The Hornets are now 39-18 to the UNDER in their last 57 games, and are 20-6 to the UNDER when facing an opponent that scored 100+ in their previous game. The Nuggets are 39-18 to the UNDER vs. an opponent that has a winning percentage of better than .600 at home. My play is on New Orleans and the UNDER.