This pick was released to clients on May 16, 2024 at 11:27AM ET.
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Denver at Minnesota

May 16, 2024
img8:42 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Minnesota must somehow regain the composure and confidence it had when winning the first two games of the series in order to stay alive. The Timberwolves do not depend a whole lot on 3-point shots, but they'll have to do better than their 8-for-26 showing in Game 5. They actually shot 57.7 percent on 2-pointers. Nikola Jokic scored 40 points, but no one else on the Nuggets had more than 16. Minnesota is 28-17 UNDER in the first half its past 45 games and it will obviously have to come out focused immediately on the defensive end in this elimination game. The UNDER is 36-15-1 in Denver's past 52 games after winning by double digits. Minnesota is a slight favorite in this game and the Nuggets have a home game in hand in case it's needed. Two Max Plays on this game: Take the Timberwolves on the moneyline (Max), and make it a Max Play on the first-half UNDER.

2 units on Minnesota -125 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.6)
Result:
WIN
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 105.5 -115 (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Denver Nuggets
14
26
21
9
70
Minnesota Timberwolves img
31
28
27
29
115
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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