Denver lost the first two at home before getting a 117-90 blowout win in Game 3. But they're 6-4 straight up over their last 10 road games, losing four of those as favorites, including two as chalk of -10.5 and -11.5. Minnesota has a second chance to take command of this series. They were 30-11 straight up at home during the regular season, the fifth-most home victories. Their +6.5-point differential was the third-best in the NBA. During the regular season, the Timberwolves were 10th in scoring and third in 3-point shooting (38.7%), while the defense was No. 1 in points given up and in field goal shooting allowed. They've only lost two in a row four times all season, with the wagering value on the home team to win the game. Play Minnesota on the moneyline.
This pick was released to clients on May 11, 2024 at 8:59AM ET.
NBA
Denver at Minnesota
May 12, 2024
8:05 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Minnesota -145 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.53)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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