This pick was released to clients on May 11, 2024 at 8:59AM ET.
img NBA

Denver at Minnesota

May 12, 2024
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Denver lost the first two at home before getting a 117-90 blowout win in Game 3. But they're 6-4 straight up over their last 10 road games, losing four of those as favorites, including two as chalk of -10.5 and -11.5. Minnesota has a second chance to take command of this series. They were 30-11 straight up at home during the regular season, the fifth-most home victories. Their +6.5-point differential was the third-best in the NBA. During the regular season, the Timberwolves were 10th in scoring and third in 3-point shooting (38.7%), while the defense was No. 1 in points given up and in field goal shooting allowed. They've only lost two in a row four times all season, with the wagering value on the home team to win the game. Play Minnesota on the moneyline. 

1.5 units on Minnesota -145 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.53)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Denver Nuggets img
29
35
26
25
115
Minnesota Timberwolves
24
25
30
28
107
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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